Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Something is about to blow

What's about to blow will be big and destructive, with the power to distract from other events that otherwise might end careers. When we've reached the point where leaders need distractions of this magnitude, we will have clues beforehand, as we do now. Here are some of the crises in critical stages which, if populations are not distracted from them, will bite the hands that fed them:

1. Is Trump in the Epstein files? Who else is in there? Because Trump won't disclose the files it appears to his base that he's protecting child molesters, a career breaking perception, at least it has been. A major terrorist act would be enough to get our minds off the sordid scenario.

2. Trump is playing the whole world in his mediation between Russia and Ukraine. While he pretends to scold both sides, we get hints that Russia will end up keeping parts of the Donbas region (formerly Ukrainian territory along the Russian border), an area rich in rare earth minerals necessary for the internet age. After Russia gets its chunk of the Donbas, it will likely do business with the U.S.- per prearrangement - in fulfillment of a deal that will piss off so much of the world that a distraction will be required at the moment the deal becomes clear.

3. It appears to a divided world that the Israel/Hamas war is between good and evil, with different opinions on which side is which. At this time the crimes of each are becoming clear, which will require a horrific act explained by one side as defensive, the other as offensive, to distract from the crimes of each.

4. Trump's base is having doubts about him not only because he's hiding the Epstein files, but because his policies are destroying their livelihoods. He can't face Americans much longer like this. A big terrorist attack would be useful right now.

Leaders of other countries and armies have similar needs for distraction. The situation is reminiscent of the lead-ups to the first two world wars, in which leaders surreptitiously sought conflict to escape from the mounting pressures of peace. On June 28, 1914, just before World War I broke out, a Serbian partisan, who was opposed to the Austro-Hungarian Empire's domination of Serbia, assassinated the Archduke Ferdinand, the heir presumptive to the throne of the Empire. In a harsh ultimatum to Serbia, the Empire issued demands that, according to many historians, were so extreme they appeared designed to produce the intense Serbian opposition that, through multi-national alliances on both sides, triggered major war throughout Europe. Similarly, before the U.S. entered World War II against Japan, American foreign policy experts warned against placing a major naval base in Hawaii because the location would threaten Japan and give it an excuse to attack, but the development of Pearl Harbor happened anyway because the world's upper management needed major violence to cover the lack of better ideas. Both world wars distracted from the frustrated and futile lives of regular people, and governments' inability to do anything about the discontent (see the early novels of Aldous Huxley).

Of course manufactured distraction is not the only cause of violence; there is also our predilection for it. You can't, however, predict human violence based only on its potential, since violent ideation is a constant, while you can predict violence from political tensions that, if people blame them on their leaders and are not distracted, will grow into domestic strife rather than righteous war against other countries.

It should be noted that, while the first two world wars sought realignment of power and silencing of popular discontent, the next world war's purpose will be to replace traditional human culture and physiology with a bioengineered and AI managed new type of "human."

Thus, while the manipulative strategies that trick people into war will be the same for World War III, the goals will be different. At least after the last two world wars we were still human.
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Saturday, August 09, 2025

The Strife Below

The Emperor of Japan, preparing to write a poem, looked down from his mountain at the strife below and thought, "I must be succinct," though later he deplored his "verbose and burdensom result" :



Leaves seek

a coming sun


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Something is about to blow

What's about to blow will be big and destructive, with the power to distract from other events that otherwise might end careers. When...