Friday, September 19, 2025

Cooperating with the enemy (updated)

We criticize with impunity the Trump administration's assault on the free speech of late-night comics who ridicule him, or business executives and government officials who disagree with his policies, or his call for federal troops to patrol US cities for "combat training," but this is only the initial phase of the assault. The impunity will likely vanish as Trump, who presents himself as a semi-literate buffoon, is revealed as an effective and higly focused spearhead of a destructive movement against all humanity, a movement much more powerful and dangerous than others originating in post-World War II America, such as the comparatively ineffective campaign against free speech and thought in the early 1950's, termed the "McCarthy era," led by Senator Joseph McCarthy, who was disgraced and robbed of power before he could destroy the country. From indications so far, Trump, though he may be disgraced, will not be robbed of power before he achieves what he is after.

What he is after, with worldwide backing from people after the same thing, is ownership and profit derived, first, from demolition of the world's current civilizations, followed by replacement of outdated humanity (us) with humanity 2.0 and revised civilizations. This transformation will happen remarkably fast-with or without Trump - probably within the lifetimes of young people alive today. It will have varied conceivable outcomes, some less nighthmarish than others, depending on whether only Trump and his ilk, or other, possibly more benign forces influence it. Its roots come from science: new abilities to speed up evolution by manipulating human genetics, and to make what has been the strikingly powerful human brain secondary to Artificial Intelligence. At the end of the process, we will have no more in common with humanity 2.0 than we have with tribal humanity 300,000 years ago. In fact, we'll have more in common with humanity 300,000 years ago.

Trump and his fellow investors have hitched their wagons to this developing future, with the goal, not of creating a new and better humanity, but of acquiring tremendous wealth and power.

Trump seeks dictatorial rule in order to carry out his role in the transformation. Any resistance from the populace will likely be derailed in large part by distractions of war (also useful in demolishing civilizations), presented as arising in response to unprovoked attacks on us by enemy groups or nations. On one level, the attackers may be actual enemies, while on another, less ideological level, there are often parties in enemy leadership willing to reach covert agreements with our side on critical details, like the timing and nature of attacks. We have a history of such covert agreements. Dexter Filkins, in The New Yorker magazine, wrote that the US made deals with the Taliban during the Afghan war about where and when it would attack US troops; former secretary of state Henry Kissinger, in Nuclear Weapons and Foreign Policy, advocated agreements with our “enemies” on where and when to drop nuclear weapons on each other. With such precedents, it seems likely that Trump’s highly provocative recent moves towards dictatorship will be accompanied soon by one or more violent attacks from foreign sources against the US, attacks so threatening that we will forget all about late night comics, federal troops patrolling our cities, James Comey, Jeffrey Epstein, dictatorship or anything other than how to survive.

[Update, 10/11/25: The current Israeli/Hamas deal on the hostage release and future of Gaza, since it comes at a time of increasing public questioning of Trump's rule, could serve as a test of the premise that the pupose of war is often to distract from domestic tensions. In such a scenario, after the hostage release this week, if Hamas remains in Gaza and resists disarming, this could be followed by new Israeli strikes on Hamas, this time backed by the US, followed by an especially violent attack on the US, perceived, correctly or not, as perpetrated by Hamas, followed by war - now involving webs of alliances on both sides - of such intensity that an Orwellian takeover of American media will seem a necessity, rather than an objective of the war.]

Thus, any attack, from Hamas or another quarter, at the current peak of the administration’s need for distraction, can be considered evidence of covert US cooperation with the hostile state or group that launches the attack. Such evidence would be circumstantial, but compelling, circumstantial or not.

What can we do about our situation other than enjoy a short-lived freedom to make fun of it? I don't see what one individual can do. You might as well have tried to stop World Wars I or II by yourself. One credible hope might be a well-funded and determined group that is focused, not on stopping the transformation of our species - since it can't be stopped - but on demanding that humanity 2.0 retain significant human memory and identity, and some independence from the new kings, pharaohs and would-be gods now salivating at their prospects.

Friday, February 28, 2025

Is virtual reality real? (Updated)


[This piece is reposted from 4/9/22, updated in the context of the Israel/Hamas and Ukraine/Russia wars, with reference to recent Islamic State (IS) attacks]

The phrase "virtual reality" takes a twisty path from its Latin roots. Of course, by the time children are in middle school they know what virtual reality is, but ask them to define it. Then ask yourself.

A good dictionary (in this case Merriam-Webster) covers the basics: "Virtual" is related to the noun, "virtue," which we know to mean, "a morally good quality," like integrity or honesty, from Latin virtus, "merit," "perfection," from vir, "man."  The transition from vir to the rest is an etymological puzzle (while you're at it, consider "woman of virtue"), but my focus here is the equally mystifying modern usage of "virtual."

Back to the dictionary- there are three broad definitions of "virtual":

1: Modern common use: "Almost or nearly as described, but not completely or according to strict definition : the troops stopped at the virtual border."  Virtual borders are not official borders on a map, but de facto borders, determined by use.

Note: Only definition #1 clearly references the historic usage of virtue,  retained in our word "virtuous," meaning "exhibiting virtues."  In the example above, virtual borders have the "virtue" of being observed by practice, though not the virtue of being indicated on maps.

2: In Computing: "Not physically existing as such but made by software to appear to exist, e.g., a virtual doorway;"  In other words, imaginary.

3: Physics: "Denoting particles or interactions with extremely short lifespans and indefinitely great energies, postulated as intermediates in some processes."  That is, particles, or things, that exist for such a brief period of time that their reality as things is questionable.

One might think that virtual reality derives from definition #3, since it is the most puzzling.  Does the length of time that something exists have bearing on the reality of its existence?  In galactic time, humans do not exist very long. Does that mean ours is a lesser existence?  That subject will have to wait for another essay, however, since virtual reality derives from #2, which means, as noted, imaginary.

[Note: I'm going to leave the definition of "reality" as "things that are real," a cop-out perhaps because Merriam-Webster informs us that "reality" derives from the Sanskrit for "property," something to do with "wealth and goods" being real things- a philosophical question for another essay.]

Under virtual reality we get: "The computer-generated simulation of a three-dimensional image or environment that can be interacted with in a seemingly real or physical way by a person using special electronic equipment, such as a helmet with a screen inside or gloves fitted with sensors."

The question I ask at this point is, why do we need to conceive of computer-generated simulation as a type of reality?  We never had that need with novels, plays or movies. Those are not types of realities.  They are imaginary.

In modern, media based culture, we seem to have concluded that reality is manufactured by us. We get support for this notion from TV news.   If the news show we watch shares our bias, our brain allows the television to hook-up with our perceptual apparatus, as a sort of adjunct brain, at least mine does. When I watch a TV news report from a war front on a station matching my bias, my mind gravitates towards belief. If I watch a story on a station that does not match my bias, I am skeptical. In a version of "confirmation bias," my brain is requiring that its perception of reality be moderated by outer mechanisms that match its bias, in other words that reality be manufactured.

In addition to the news, we have "reality shows." These are shows in which non-actors (termed "real") behave in unscripted but stage-managed ways.

These trends suggests that we don't require actual reality from our media, that it is enough to produce simulated, virtual reality, as video games do.

It is in this context that I consider IS (or ISIS), which in 2014, with its professionally produced, ready for prime time video of a Jordanian pilot burning to death in a cage, realized the predictions of numerous science fiction novels, from the media-mediated wars of George Orwell's 1984 to the blurred lines between war and mass entertainment in Suzanne Collins' Hunger Games.  On the day the IS video was released, ABC national news anchor David Muir described its "high production values," adding that, "No Hollywood studio could have done better," as if he were delivering a movie review.  In a sense he was.

 [Update, 3/23/24: Available sources suggest that IS is funded from continually shifting politics, which helps explain its unclear meaning. The obscurity deepened after the horrific attack of 3/22/24 on concert-going civilians in Russia, for which a putative IS took credit. Russia says the attack was directed by Ukraine, with no reference to IS. Hamas says that Israel and the CIA directed the attack through IS. The U.S. says that IS is an independent terrorist group that committed the attack independently, as indicated by its claiming to have done so. The "facts" on all sides are as antithetical to each other as the "facts" on either side of Israel vs Hamas/Hezbollah, or Ukraine vs. Russia. This is purposeful. We are not supposed to understand what's going on with these potential triggers of World War III, but it's clear what's going on: Current civilization is under threat of being dismantled by violent covert and overt forces. I don't recommend total pessimism, but to avoid it we need a politically influential group that describes and discusses things as they are, to save us from intellectual suffocation and keep hope alive.]

The other day a friend showed me a video from a source on the Internet that purported to be a recording of the transmission from a U.S. drone that was conducting an attack on IS ground troops in Syria who were attacking the Peshmerga (Kurdish enemies of IS, thus our allies).  It was a nighttime attack, the ground troops glowing white through infrared lenses. The chatter from drone control, which was hundreds or thousands of miles from the scene, was dispassionate but engaged, technical, referencing targets and coordinates, ordering rocket and 30mm fire that resulted moments later in white flashes where running forms had been.  It looked exactly like a video game.  I could have been pounding my thumbs blasting aliens or Kazakhs (a favorite game foe for a while).  Orson Scott Card's Ender's Game comes to mind, in which hot-shot 9th grade gamers are told by the military that they are trying out a new training video, while they are in fact fighting real aliens (Spoiler alert: Book III reveals that the "invading" aliens were on a peaceful mission).

What do these musings have to do with the real IS?  I should add that my point is not that IS is not real.  It's hard to see how its actions could be faked.  A man really was burned; people were really beheaded; many European and American cities are really being terrorized.  I'm talking about the sober thinking behind IS, specifically their marketing department, and they clearly have one. The War of IS is packaged for young men the way a video game would be packaged. Consider how you'll be watching a TV show that young people also watch, and suddenly there's a commercial for a video game showing CGI heroes blasting a variety of monsters, with titles like End of Doom Part III!  Now it's Return of ISIS- The Reckoning!  

Commentators have wondered where IS comes from and what it wants. It is not a country, or associated with one.  It has no past as an established enemy. But its genesis in no secret. IS formed in reaction to persecutions of Iraqi Sunnis by U.S. imposed Shia leaders, after the 2003 U.S. invasion of Iraq that toppled Sunni leader Saddam Hussein. IS was in effect born of U.S. policy, continuing the pattern of post-World War II conflicts in which we indulge our need to fight enemies by creating them- as we do with video games.

In other words, IS is not entirely real.  Virtually, though, it's real enough. It certainly has no problem with ratings, though IS is at heart a transitory organization, dependent on outside support.  On its own it does not have the staying power of a profitable video game.  The best outcome would be to win this war quickly, as well as virtually and really.  

[Update, 11/4/23: The Israel/Hamas war is both real and virtual. In America its reality is bolstered because many people instantly identify with one side or the other, and because people on both sides are maimed and killed. The virtual parts are the competing storylines of the conflict's background, such that someone new to the subject could read all the opposing accounts from biblical times to October 7th, 2023, and come away with no idea what to think, because the same assumed facts and historical fragments, accepted by each side but filtered through different perspectives, support antithetical narratives and draw antithetical conclusions. On top of this, since the October 7th attack, two new antithetical storylines explaining the purpose and nature of the attack have unfolded, as specific as the Manhattan Project in their intent, creating two groups of people living in opposite realities, fissionable material when the two groups are in contact, social atom bombs to be manipulated and ignited as one would physical bombs. Americans who manage to remain “undecided” or "unaligned" through the pressure to choose between these realities (due to our freedom of speech we get both storylines) will be overruled by the passion and argumentation of those who are sure of their place in the struggle].

[Update, 6/11/25: The two post-October 7 narratives have reached a dangerous intensity, with a worldwide audience believing either that Israel is genocidally starving and killing innocent people, or that Gaza's 2 million people, if unrestrained, would storm into Israel and kill every Israeli they can find. There's plenty of commentary on the situation; my only point is that it was pre-planned. Hyper-inflamed emotions were the desired outcome. The effects of increasing conflict will be felt far beyond the region. The local explosion will be used as a match to ignite other flammable potential (e.g. war with Iran). There are enough such ignition points (now including Occupied Los Angeles] to light the whole world on fire. The good news (maybe) is that the fires will be somewhat controlled to ensure that an AI mediated, bioengineered new humanity comes out the other end.]
  


Saturday, January 25, 2025

Sam Altman will prove you are human

Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI and owner of ChatGPT, is a booster for his technology, AI, as in a piece in the online journal BBC Tech Decoded ("The Intelligence Age," 9/27/24) with comments like, "In the next couple of decades, we will be able to do things that would have seemed like magic to our grandparents."

He is upfront on some delicate issues, like replacement of traditional human jobs with AI jobs. As a long-time teacher, I was struck by this: "Our children will have virtual tutors who can provide personalized instruction in any subject, in any language, and at whatever pace they need," explicitly predicting the automation of teaching and the raising of children by machines. Altman also predicts replacement of doctors: "We can imagine similar ideas for better healthcare, the ability to create any kind of software someone can imagine, and much more."

Altman claims this future will bring a "shared prosperity and service to a degree that seems unimaginable today." It's the "shared" part that seems unimaginable.

This is not to say that AI-conducted teaching and health care would be sub-standard. Some aspects might be more efficient and faster than they are today. The price, however, will be that humans are no longer nurtured and raised by humans, but by machines.

To be clear, my argument is not that switching humanity to machine nurturing would be bad in some absolute sense. That's a matter of opinion. I am saying that we should be aware that it's happening. Awareness has been part of our definition of "human," and there are those who don't want that definition changed.

Speaking of awareness, Altman proposes an awareness in AI of whether a particular user is human. According to Time magazine ("Are you Human?," 6/23/25) one of Altman's companies, Tools for Humanity, is working on a device called "the Orb," which will scan everyone's iris to determine if the microscopic patterns appear human. If they do, the Orb will create an ID number with 12,800 digits for that person, who will use it throughout their lives to conduct any sort of business. The ID numbers will be entered into the Tools for Humanity data base, which will evolve into a "Proof of Humanity" network. Altman's goal is to catalogue at least 50 million people by the end of this year, and "ultimately to sign up every single person on the planet." As an incentive, the first people to sign up will get $42 in Altman's crypto-currency, Worldcoin, in "what ultimately the company hopes will become the world's largest financial network."

Again, I'm not arguing that requiring everyone on earth to have an ID number generated and stored by one private company, to certify that they are human and enroll them in the company run world economy, is either good or bad. I'm just saying we should be aware we are doing it and ponder its meaning. Of course, since Time has revealed the Orb and its future uses, a lot of people will know about it and may care, but the topic will soon be forgotten as we are distracted by wars that are, ironically, directed largely by AI.

Altman describes the future he sees: "Technology brought us from the Stone Age to the Agricultural Age and then to the Industrial Age. From here, the path to the Intelligence Age is paved with computing energy and human will." He apparently thinks the age we're entering should be called the "Intelligence Age." I don't know why he thinks that, unless he's only talking about machine intelligence. The typical human, with each forward step by AI, will get progressively less intelligent, in the sense of knowing valuable skills. As an obvious example, if cars become self-driving, people will forget how to drive. The same holds for teaching and being a physician, and for virtually any other current human job you can think of. Humanity may become like the children of AI, cared for and protected by an intelligence it created but can no longer understand.

As mentioned above, there is also the likely advent of widespread war mediated and conducted by AI, which will work to the advantage of an AI based humanity by destroying traditional human systems and replacing them with efficient AI systems.

In a time of general war it will be more difficult for creative outsiders to affect our ongoing evolution, but even now, in relative peacetime, we are not organized or encouraged to prioritize discussion of the coming world. An example is the recent U.S. presidential election. In all the debates, speeches and journalists' questions, there was not one reference to humanity's imminent leap into the unkown. Another example of non-awareness comes from the United Teachers of Los Angeles, to which I belong. UTLA was effective in the 1970's in raising teacher salaries from $30,000 to $70,000, but today it says not a word about the likely automation of teaching. What's the difference how much money we make if our jobs are gone?

Since an AI run civilization seems likely and could possibly be more efficient and less painful than current "civilized" life, one might ask why we should bother to critique it?  In my case the answer is that during the transition I prefer not to be assaulted by advertising and propaganda, such as Altman's, designed to distract our attention from a full understanding of what is happening. I would rather talk openly about the pros and cons, as that will be the only way for people outside the industry and politics to have any influence on the coming evolution.

[Check out my blog exploring AI technology, "Conversations with AI," and my latest post about teaching humor to an AI, at https://smartypantsgemini.blogspot.com/].

Cooperating with the enemy (updated)

We criticize with impunity the Trump administration's assault on the free speech of late-night comics who ridicule him, or business ex...